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A Maryland Miracle That Missed vs. Michigan State – Bijan Bayne of DC Basketball

Tuesday, March 23rd, 2010

Why do you have to be a heartbreaker?
Is it a lesson that I never knew?
Gotta get out of the spell that I’m under
My love for you-
Dionne Warwick

How can one face a keyboard after Maryland’s men’s basketball team, prepared by regular season comebacks against Clemson (from a 15-point deficit) and N.C. State (down 10 at halftime), nearly snatched one from Sparty’s green jaws? Who has words? (maybe Earvin Johnson really is “Magic”).

Yesterday was heartrenching to say the least. Even the diehards must have given up, when the Big Ten entry led by 16 with twelve minutes to play, then a daunting nine with two minutes showing.

Be careful what you wish for.

When all appeared lost, but the Terps drew tantalizingly closer, I wished they would go out fighting. Make it a game. Display the heart they’ve shown erasing previous deficits. But alas, these were Tom Izzo’s boys, tough as nails and not the dregs of the ACC. That was a poor choice of wishes.

But the impossible happened (the defense, finally tightened up after a shameful first 37 minutes), and Greivis gave us an improbable 83-82 edge. Now Sparty appeared short on time, given the demands of an end-to-end rush. I just hoped the guys didn’t foul. I was not only shocked, I was prepared to watch Maryland, and see thousands of Terps’ faithful in St. Louis next week, where I will attend a men’s regional final. All this with Kansas eliminated from the field (Jayhwak fans can drive to St. Louis, and would have dominated the gym). But it was not to be.

The shot went in (Terp Nation rollercoastered from utter disbelief to utter disbelief).

Despite not having recovered, and having a former schoolmate who has yet to hear from a brother who attended the game in Spokane, I salute the men of Maryland for winning a share of the ACC crown, supporting one of the NCAA’s best individual players, giving Gary their all (especially at the end of games), and exceeding preseason expectations. If it couldn’t end on a positive note, they went down like they went in.

It’s been a tournament of surprises, from Cornell to St. Mary’s. Maryland was not wiped out by supposedly inferior competition, as some storied programs (one even local to D.C. ) were. They merely ran out of miracles.

Week 15 and 16 Basketball Power Poll

Friday, March 5th, 2010

Sorry about the lack of posts from me recently – I’ve been tied up with preparing/taking the LSAT. Here are your latest Power Polls:

Week 15
1. Duke – 1.00
2. Maryland – 2.25
3. Wake – 3.75
4. Virginia Tech – 4.00
5. Clemson – 5.00
6. Florida State – 6.00
7. Georgia Tech – 6.125
8. Virginia – 7.875
9. Boston College – 9.375
10. North Carolina – 10.625
11. North Carolina State & Miami (tie) – 11

Week 16:
1. Duke – 1.00
2. Maryland – 2.00
3. Clemson – 3.57
4. Virginia Tech – 4.57
5. Wake – 5.00
6. Florida State – 5.28
7. Georgia Tech – 6.57
8. Boston College/UVA – 8.71 (TIE)
10. NC State – 10.28
11. UNC – 10.57
12. Miami – 11.71

As you can see, the only consensus in the conference this year are that Maryland and Duke are the top 2 teams and Miami is at the bottom. The rest? Draw numbers, straws, whatever you want. It seems to change on a daily basis. Should make the ACC Tournament really interesting! Speaking of the ACC tournament, I’ll be doing a preview of Maryland’s chances of winning it, what it means if they don’t win it, and what seed Maryland will likely receive. So stay tuned!

A Theme Emerges: Terps Down Duke on Senior Day, Exhibit Mettle

Friday, March 5th, 2010

Anyone who has watched the current incarnation of Maryland men’s basketball over the last three weeks has observed a pattern.

Fight.

The comeback win at N.C. State. The Georgia Tech scrape. The reversal of fortune during the recent Clemson game. The Terps, who haven’t lost since the Feb. 13 blowout by Duke, are warriors. Last night it was a ranked team that fell, #4 Duke by a margin of 79-72, with Maryland demonstrating valor under fire. It isn’t just Greivis either- even when he disappears for a spell, or is getting a well-deserved break, others fill in with courageous clutch shots (particulary Adrian Bowie). While the team still has to travel to U.Va. to close out the campaign, they are one of the hottest college teams in the country going into their hallowed conference tournament, and have considerably improved their NCAA seeding lot.  I wouldn’t wanna face ‘em.

The manner in which Maryland has pulled out close ones, and erased deficits, has stoked the confidence of Jordy Williams. I don’t see how anyone could have hoped for more, going into 2009-10, than a tie for ACC season honors. It’s difficult to imagine one of Duke’s Three S’s (the big three) beating out Vazquez for ACC Player of the Year. Malcolm Delaney has a stronger argument.

Did you see Greivis’ dad after the game? That’s where the emotion comes from. These guys deserved a farewell court storm, and should still be on a cloud above College Park.

The season is far from over, but the foundation has been laid for far more than a token NCAA run. If recent past is prologue, we should all fasten our seat belts.

Notes on Virginia Tech

Friday, February 26th, 2010

You’re bound to hear it mentioned that Virginia Tech is 6-0 at home this season in ACC play and to be sure they have played much better at home than on the road.  At home their scoring margin is +41 in six games while their road margin is -33 with losses to bottom dwellers Miami, Boston College and North Carolina. It is worth taking a closer look at their home wins however as four of the Hokies home wins against Boston College, North Carolina, Virginia and Wake Forest were by an average of just over three points. That isn’t exactly a Final Four caliber collection of teams either. In the two best home wins (Clemson and Wake Forest) that Virginia Tech has the Hokies shot 93 free throws to their opponents 48. Their margin of victory in those games was 15 points and yet they made 38 more free throws than either the Tigers or Deacons made. Virginia Tech won both those games because Clemson and Wake Forest were foolish enough to keep fouling even when they were ahead in the 2nd half. If you are able to keep from fouling the Hokies they struggle to score in the half court with a roster that consists mostly of role players. Malcolm Delaney may be near the top of the ACC in scoring per game but shoots a horrendous 36% from the floor and 23.7% from outside the arc in conference play. To put it simply Delaney’s ability to draw fouls is the only thing that makes him a legitimate offensive threat. Dorenzo Hudson and Jeff Allen are decent options but often get into trouble trying to do more than they are capable of doing. Both have a history of letting their emotions get the better of them and making dumb mistakes that cost their team. Besides those three J.T. Thompson is probably the best scoring threat off the bench and may give Maryland some problems on the inside as he is very aggressive and has a decent jumper and post moves. In contrast to some of Maryland’s recent opponents Virginia Tech has some vulnerabilities on the interior and I look for Gary Williams to use Jordan Williams to exploit that. Jeff Allen has had a habit of picking up early fouls and if the Terps can get him on the bench it will further limit the Hokies pedestrian offense. There will be some chances for offensive rebounds and interior scoring for the Terps against a modestly talented Hokies front court.

The one area that Seth Greenberg’s team excels in is team defense. The Hokies play some of the best half court defense in the ACC and will make you work for every possession on offense. Their pressure will frustrate opponents into taking bad shots that turn into run out opportunities for Virginia Tech. When opponents dribble penetrate the help defender will always swipe at the ball to get steals and deflections. Their defense really feeds their offense to a large extent. Terrell Bell is Seth Greenberg’s defensive stopper and he will almost surely get assigned the task of trying to shut down Greivis Vasquez. The excellent passing and offensive motion of Maryland versus the half court defense of Virginia Tech will be an interesting matchup. Note that Boston College’s flex offense gave the Hokies real trouble in both games they played against the Eagles. Virginia Tech is the only road venue that the seniors have not won a game in their four years at Maryland.

Another Comeback, and Greivis a Naismith Nominee

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

The Terps showed NCAA tourney level (or more immediately, ACC tourney level) resolve again, overcoming a 15-point deficit to defeat Clemson 88-79. Naismith Trophy nominee Greivis Vazquez led the charge with 13 assists and 15 points, and Sean Mosley scored 20. This only a week after Maryland’s steely comeback win over an N.C. State squad they trailed on the road by six with 9:53 to play and ended up beating by nine.

It was Déjà vu all over again. Of course, the Terps have been untouchable at the Comcast Center. But of late (throw out the blowout by Duke, they’ve been untouchable period). One reason has been frosh Jordan Williams, who chipped in a much-needed 18 last night. As I’ve stated, this unit will travel as far as Greivis’ supporting scorers can carry them. An off night by the best-of-the-rest, and they are sunk, whether the opponent is in conference, or next month’s Madness.

Hats off to Vazquez for being named a Naismith finalist (one of 30).

We were outrebounded again (this time 39-32), but Maryland sank  eight of 13 three-pointers, the Tigers heaved 30 and only made 11 for their efforts. A 20-7 overall mark, and 10-3 in the ACC is all one could have asked for this club to achieve so far, going into this season. They could lose out in their remaining two conference contests, and be bounced in the first round of the ACC tournament, and still earn like a five seed in the ncaa’S.

That wouldn’t be an ideal finish, and this bunch seems more capable than that. They’ll have to prove by pairing together two halves of sound basketball (most forgave last week’s sorry first 30 minutes vs. State as a side effect of a scheduling nightmare).

The nightmare is over, now we can dream.

Will the freshmen continue to dominate on the court?

Sunday, February 21st, 2010

Hidden behind Greivis’ dominant 26 point performance against NC State on Wednesday was the career game by freshman center Jordan Williams, scoring 19 points and grabbing 11 boards.

Last April, I had the opportunity to go see Jordan Williams and James Padgett play in the Charm City Challenge up at Towson University. Although I was really impressed with the offensive production that Padgett put up, I was equally impressed with Jordan Williams who was able to grab rebounds, score (even though the offensive scoring that team U.S. ran didn’t really feature going inside to Williams very often), and also shut down Oklahoma commit Andrew Fitzgerald.

I was one of the people who thought Jordan would step into the starting role right away. And although Jordan did start initially, I think had Dino Gregory not been suspended at the start of the season, Jordan would have been coming off the bench. Looking back now, Dino’s suspension, which forced Jordan Williams into a starting role from the get-go might have been a blessing in disguise.

Jordan’s presence and performance on this team has exceed everyone’s expectations. I thought Jordan would average about 6 points and 3.5 boards a game this season. In reality, he’s averaged almost 9 points and over 8 boards a game. And he’s been getting better as the season has progressed. For a freshman, you often worry that they’ll begin to slow down or hit a wall towards the latter half of the season. That doesn’t appear to be the case for Jordan. Following their win against UVA on Monday night, I had the opportunity to ask Jordan about playing in the grueling ACC schedule and how he’s adjusted to it so far this season.

“I’m used to it now. I’ve been playing for a while, over 20 games into the season, so I think I’ve been getting used to it, so it’s not as much of a change as it was in the beginning. In the beginning, it was very difficult for me to adjust. I think I’ve adjusted now, now it’s just a matter of going out and performing.”

Going out and performing he is. He’s averaging over 11 points per game to go along with 9 boards in his last 6 games. A freshman center averaging almost a double-double in the middle of ACC play. The numbers are, in a word, amazing. Furthermore, not only is Jordan scoring and grabbing boards and doing so with great hands and a soft touch, he’s also opening things up for his teammates: setting screens, clearing out space in the lane for the guards to drive, catching the ball in the low post to draw a double team and then dishing it back out to an open teammate on the outside, and performing extremely well defensively, shutting down some of the best centers in the conference and in the country. All of these things are the result of Jordan’s presence inside. This is the first time we’ve had an inside presence like this since the days of Baxter and Jordan is light years ahead of where Baxter was his freshman year. By the time Jordan is a junior or senior, he very well might be vying for ACC player of the year honors.

Jordan has also turned into the number two scoring option on this team. When he gets the ball in the low post, he’s looking for for his shot and often times making it.

With Jordan playing this well, on a defensive oriented team with two senior guards, another very reliable and productive senior forward, and great production off the bench, the Terps are starting to become a scary team to face late in the season. How they play against Georgia Tech on Saturday and more importantly against Virginia Tech on the road next week will again be indicators as to whether we can raise our expectations for this team come March. I personally will be disappointed by anything less than the sweet 16. And I’m now starting to believe more and more that could become a reality.

I can’t wait to see how Jordan matches up with fellow ACC freshman Derrick Favors on Saturday, the other great ACC center and person Jordan is beginning to challenge for ACC Rookie of the Year.

Lets hope we see another dominant performance from the freshmen.

ACC Basketball Power Poll – Week 14 (Feb 15th)

Sunday, February 21st, 2010

Who is the class of the ACC this year? Well, it appears Duke is starting to take hold of that position, but after Duke, who are the next three-best teams in the conference? Is it Maryland? Or Virginia Tech? Or Wake?
Despite their loss to Duke last Saturday, Maryland continues to hold down the #2 spot, although they slipped a little from the previous poll. Wake is getting more love, and even received 1 first place vote this week and they come in at #3 in this week’s poll. Virginia Tech, at #4, is getting more love, but some still think their weak strength of schedule prevents the Hokies from being worthy of being in the top of the conference. Just a few points separated Clemson (#5), Georgia Tech (#6), and Florida State (#7) in this week’s poll. Virginia (#8) is starting to slip back towards the bottom portion of the conference after climbing out of the basement earlier this season. North Carolina, once of #1 status, has fallen all the way down to #9. Miami finishes at #10 and NC State and Boston College are tied for #11, as our pollsters couldn’t seem to decide which team was worse than the other.

Here is where our Raycom bloggers think each team ranks, as of Monday, February 15th:
1. Duke – 1.11
2. Maryland – 2.77
3. Wake – 3.00
4. Virginia Tech – 4.00
5. Clemson – 5.66
6. Georgia Tech – 5.77
7. Florida State – 6.00
8. Virginia – 7.88
9. North Carolina – 9.33
10. Miami – 10.44
11. North Carolina State & Boston College (tie) – 11

What do you think? Is Virginia Tech ranked too low? Is North Carolina still ranked too high? We welcome your comments and feed back! Enjoy the games this week!

The N.C. State Comeback/NCAA Hopes:That’s What I’M Talking About

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

Three ACC basketball games in five days would be challenging for the best of teams, and the Maryland men, for all the survival skills they have displayed since Snowmaggedon, are not Kansas, Dorothy. We aren’t Kentucky either. That said, the guys overcame lethargic first half offense, porous interior defense (not on Wolfpack scoring leader Tracy Smith, but Dennis Horner, whom they made look like the next Kevin Love, if not Kevin Garnett), and sloppy passing, to defeat N.C. State 67-58. We’ll take an ugly victory within the overall cosmetics a 20-21 win campaign would present as an NCAA selection resume. And it got all kinds of ugly. Players who shouldn’t be shooting three pointers in practice were heaving ‘em from the locker room. The bigs failed miserably at boxing out opposing rebounders. No one had a clue as to how to contain Horner, who totaled 19 points and 10 boards. State was up 37-27 at the break, and prospects looked dim for Gary’s charges. Sidney Lowe’s ‘pack still led 51-45 with 9:53 showing on the game clock. More importantly, the Raleigh home team had scored on successive breakaways by Scott Wood that fired up the student body. Then Maryland’s defense improved,  and ‘pack shooters went cold, resulting in a six minute scoreless drought. While this was occurring, Adrian Bowie stepped into Maryland’s x factor, “who-will-support-Greivis Vasquez-as-a-second- scorer-tonight?” void by nailing timely jumpers from distance. That’s the mark of an upperclassmen. It is this very role, and its lack of a consistent actor, that could limit the Terrapins to an one-and-out NCAA appearance. Last night, it was Eric Hayes who was too quiet for too long. Young Jordan Williams is to be commended for his 19 points and 11 rebounds, though he was part of the clique that had no defensive answer for Horner for 30 minutes. We got outrebounded 41-39.

As the momentum was shifting, Vazquez lifted his mates on his shoulders. He had 17 after intermission. Big time players meet crunch moments.

See, at this point in the season, the more the Terps pad their W-L mark, the higher seed they’ll draw if chosen to participate in the Madness that is March. More importantly, in this grueling stretch of schedule, AKA “Climate Change Hits College Park”, triumph over obstacles builds character. Dunno if Coach Williams can endure much more of this, but the bottom line is all that counts. It took some time outs to dig out from the trouble, but hey, the Metro area has yet to dig itself out from back-to-back blizzards either.

Georgia Tech comes to Comcast on Saturday, the final game of the turbulent trifecta.

18-7 overall, 8-3 in the conference. Limiting Tracy Smith to eight shots. A tired team playing a game in which the last 10 minutes displayed their mettle and patience. A go-to guard who can lead under duress. As scary as it was to watch, Terp fans enjoy stories with happy endings.

All records are not equal

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Too many basketball pundits and fans take as self evident that all league records are equal. In the post expansion era of ACC basketball nothing could be further from the truth and to evaluate a team you have to look at who they played and where they played them.  Here is a breakdown of the opponent’s conference records as they stand right now for ACC teams:

ACC games only Record Opponent’s W-L record Opponent’s Win. %
Duke 9-2 82-94 0.466
Virginia Tech 8-3 74-101 0.422
Maryland 7-3 87-89 0.494
Wake Forest 8-4 77-98 0.440
Clemson 6-5 91-85 0.517
FSU 6-5 85-91 0.482
Georgia Tech 6-6 92-84 0.522
Virginia 5-5 89-88 0.502
Miami 3-8 93-83 0.528
UNC 3-8 96-82 0.539
Boston College 3-8 95-81 0.539
N.C. State 2-9 95-80 0.542

Duke suffers in this analysis because they don’t have the opportunity to play themselves and it makes their schedule appear less impressive. In a similar manner it would make sense that some teams at the bottom have their numbers inflated because they don’t have the chance to play themselves and drag their schedule down. It is obvious that Wake Forest and particularly Virginia Tech have the records they do because they play the easiest schedules in the league by a wide margin. The Hokies sitting at 8-3 are probably the best example of the unbalanced schedule helping a team to a record that probably doesn’t reflect their true quality. Virginia Tech doesn’t play a home-and-home with a single team in the top six of the conference standings an unbelievable stroke of luck for a team that had a weak non-conference slate and didn’t have a single noteworthy win coming into conference play. Furthermore the Hokies get home games for the only meeting of the season against three of the top four opponents in the current standings. It isn’t much mystery that the Hokies are 8-3 after playing six home games. They have failed to prove themselves capable of winning on the road with their best win coming in overtime against a slumping Virginia squad. They have already lost on the road to UNC and Miami who are a combined 6-16 in league play yet the record of the road opponents in league play is a horrendous 37-51. They have two legitimate road test left on their schedule at Duke and Georgia Tech so it will be worth watching how Virginia Tech performs in those venues. Wake Forest also has reason to be grateful to the schedule maker as their record is only slightly easier than the Hokies. The Deacons only face Duke, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Clemson and Florida State once but do have a tougher road schedule than Virginia Tech. There isn’t much the league can do about the scheduling since expansion had nothing to do with what was best for basketball. The ACC should change the tie breaking procedure for the ACC tournament seeding. A team should not win the tiebreaker for beating their opponent only once on their home floor. Instead the higher seed should be given to the team with the better record against opponents who finished higher in the league standings. If two teams were tied and one beat the other on the road in the only meeting of the season then I could see giving the team that won a tiebreaker on that basis.

It has become clear since expansion that ACC basketball has not been the same as when every team had an equal schedule. Their are still great teams and great programs but a winning league record used to be proof a team had a good season in the ACC, not so any longer. It probably makes the ACC tournament even more significant than in past years. At least there all the teams are on a level playing field, though I’m sure Gary Williams would disagree with that assessment in Greensboro.

Terps Recoup By Swamping Cavs

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

As previously stated here, one of the keys to the Maryland men obtaining an NCAA Tournament bid is to consistently defeat the schools they are “supposed” to beat. Last night, the team rebounded from a humbling loss to Duke by trouncing Virginia 85-66. Per usual, Greivis Vasquez took charge of things, netting 25 points before intermission. Why is this trend so important? Numbers. Despite factors such as strength of schedule and RPI Rating, tourney selectors will also take into account overall record and strength of conference. If a slew of ACC teams get in by association, the Terps need only amass about 20-21 victories to make a strong, if not inarguable case for themselves come Selection Sunday. They’re already 17-7. To relieve the pressure even moreso, they could pick up a couple wins in ACC Tourney play (in other words, win a couple of three more regular season contests, then survive a round or two on Tobacco Road to reach a magic 21 victories).

That’s doable. This is not to suggest Gary, Greivis & Co. tank the biggies vs. the Duke’s and Clemson’s (they face the former on March 3 at home, the latter on Feb. 24, also at Comcast). The better they fare against top comp, the better their chances with the selection committee. Their 7-3 conference mark could stand some fattening. A sweep of their next two contests vs. N.C. State (in Raleigh) and tough Georgia Tech (here) would go a long way towards a jubilant Selection Show. Lotta high fives, hugs all around, ‘nother tourney for Gary. Nice going away party (NBA audition?) for Greivis. More valuable experience for the underclassmen.

You get the picture.

Trouble is, those games all take place between now and Saturday, and the guys just ran last night! Killer schedule. But as we approach the Madness that is March, it’s not about excuses, it’s about creds. If the Terps buck up and get her done, there’ll be a lot of happy faces around College Park in a month. Any subpar performances against the teams from the middle or bottom of the pack could shorten the season.

High points from last night? Maryland shot 70% the first 20 minutes (Vazquez was 10-13 at the break). The ‘hoos were only allowing 61 ppg., stingiest in the ACC, and the Terps had 52 at halftime. Jordan Williams snared 11 boards. And it was their sixth straight home win, a confidence booster, and deterrent to future visitors. This could get interesting, and mentally, the team appears to have put the Duke debacle behind them.

Short memories are good memories.